Wheat production (excluding durum) is expected at 134.1 mln t, compared to 139.4 mln t in the December forecast and down from 140.0 mln t of last year. Record rainfall late last year had a major impact on winter cereal sowing (wheat/winter barley) in northwestern Europe (France, Germany, UK, Baltics, Poland), while Spain’s production will substantially increase vs 2023. The EU-27+UK 2024 barley production is now forecast at 61.2 mln t, up from 58.6 mln t in the previous forecast and 55.7 mln t harvested in 2023.
Denmark, Finland, and Spain will have better barley crops than in 2023. The preliminary EU27 number on corn crops is now seen at 64.3 mln t, up from 63.7 mln t forecast in December and up from the 2023 harvest seen at 62.5 mln t. The EU-27+UK rapeseed crop is forecast at 20.2 mln t (20.3 mln t in the previous forecast), down from last year’s 21.3 mln t.
