The main reason for the downward revision is that the early dryness in the northern half of the EU has had a bigger impact than previously expected. Crop estimates have been lowered significantly for Germany, Bulgaria, Denmark, Sweden, Finland, and Latvia. Wheat production (excluding durum) is expected at 141.0 mln t, down from 142.4 mln t in the last forecast and down from 143.6 mln t in 2022.
The EU-27+UK 2023 barley production is forecast at 54.7 mln t down from the previous forecast of 56.6 mln t and from 58.6 mln t in 2022. The corn crop is now seen at 60.8 mln t, with the previous forecast at 61.3 mln t., and last year’s crop at just 52.7 mln t. France, Germany, Italy, Hungary, Romania, and Bulgaria are forecast to see bigger crops after the 2022 crop had been affected by severe drought and heat.
The EU-27+UK rapeseed crop is forecast at 20.4 mln t compared to 21.0 mln t in the previous forecast and 19.9 mln t in 2022.
